MBS RECAP: Wage Growth Breakout Prompts Bond Yield Breakout

Millennial veterans and military members are helping fuel the resurgence of the historic VA loan program. Last year’s 700,000-plus loans were more than double the agency’s total from five years ago. Younger buyers in particular have flocked to these government-backed mortgages during a time of tight credit and flatlining wage growth.

Treasury yields fell Monday, pulling back from intraday highs, after a gauge of consumer prices rose less than expected, diminishing fears around an inflation bounceback. The 10-year Treasury note yield was down 0.9 basis point to 2.632%, after coming off an intraday high of 2.674%. The 2-year note yield fell a single basis point to 2.467%.

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The wider-than-expected trade gap could prompt analysts to trim their estimates of already weak first-quarter U.S. economic growth. yield curve is 1bp steeper at 263bps wide. In mortgages, we saw.

Yet a rise in bond yields that began this. the Fed’s 2.0% target will prompt the market to consider more carefully the prospect of another rate hike before the end of the year. First Cal is.

As we end the month, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note remains below its recent peak of 3.25 per cent, but the 10-year real yield is near its recent high. The dollar index rose earlier today above its previous high from August, for a monthly gain of 2 per cent, its best result since May.

Thus, if wage growth overcomes hurdles like 2.8%, the Fed and the broader bond market have to do more to account for the risk that higher wages translate to higher inflation. And higher inflation.

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While it has been a slow push higher, wage growth is. at yesterday’s bond market, the U.S. 10-year dropped 2bps more to start this week, closing Monday at 3.06% in a continuation of last week’s.

Mortgage rates rise due to strong economic data  · Rates are rising fast (70% higher) and that alone can create inflation and prevent home buying given how high home prices are in places such as New York, California, Texas, and Florida. President Trump is angry about the Fed’s desire to raise rates to cool the economy, which may not actually be that red hot until next spring.

The person who buys the bonds mentioned above at $800 will get back $1,000 if he holds the bonds to maturity, in addition to receiving $100 per year interest (a current yield of 12.5% on his money). Consequently, this investor will have a gain of $200 on top of his annual interest.

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