Mortgage Rates compared to Ten Year Treasury Yield and Refinance Activity

Mortgage rates – which move roughly in parallel with the 10-year Treasury yield – surged in two big bouts in this rate-hike cycle: First, from the near-historic low in July 2016 to March 2017; and after backtracking some, from September 2017 to mid-May 2018, when MBA’s measure of the average 30-year fixed rate hit 4.86%.

Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates. The yield values are read from the yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 1, 3 and 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20, and 30 years. This method provides a yield for a 10 year maturity, for example, even if no outstanding security has exactly 10 years remaining to maturity.

Mortgage Rates fall for the fourth consecutive week as ten-year treasury tumbles and dow drops 300 points . The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell Thursday to its lowest level since 2017, dropping 9.7 basis points to 2.308%. The 2-year and the 5-year treasury fell by ten basis points.

How Does the Bond Market Affect Mortgage Rates? Treasury yields only affect fixed-rate mortgages. The 10-year note affects 15-year conventional loans while the 30-year bond affects 30-year loans. When Treasury rates rise, so do rates on these mortgages. Banks know they can raise rates once their primary competitor does.

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Mortgages: Why are rates falling as the Fed Raises Rates? | Money – As a result, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has sunk from as high as 2.62% in March to as low as 2.13% last week. It is currently at around 2.20%. For now that means your mortgage rates will stay near historical lows, a boon to first-time homebuyers (if they can find a house for sale in their price range) and homeowners looking to refinance.

Mortgage Rates compared to Ten Year Treasury Yield and Refinance Activity. Currently the 10 year Treasury yield is at 2.72% and 30 year mortgage rates are at 4.39% (according to Freddie Mac). Based on the relationship from the graph, the 30 year mortgage rate (Freddie Mac survey) would be around 5% when 10-year Treasury yields are around 3.33%.

15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rate vs The Yield on The 10-Year US Treasury Note: This chart shows the relationship between the United States Prime Rate, the yield on the Ten-Year United States Treasury Note and the rate on 15 and 30-Year, Fixed-Rate Mortgages since July 1, 1999. Chart: U.S. Prime Rate vs. Fed Funds Target Rate vs. 1-Month LIBOR.

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